“Dead Pools” are slightly creepy betting pools where participants bet on when a famous person is going to die. Betting on death is in poor taste, but
betting on when 4th Editions Dungeons and Dragons goes away is just good fun. I believe that Wizards of the Coast’s current business model is to flog the current rules set to death with monthly book releases until interest wanes. Once sales of “Player’s Handbook 22″ start to dip, they will announce “5th Edition Dungeons and Dragons” and let the axe fall on 4th Edition Dungeons and Dragons. The new edition will set off another round of edition wars and a frenzy of content purchasing by the gaming public. I am curious when you think this will happen.
The rules of the “Livingdice.com D&D Dead Pool” are very simple. Enter by posting a comment on this post with the date you believe the game will RELEASE. I want to be very clear on this. The date the books actually hit the stores is what I am looking for, not the announcement date of a new edition. This dead pool is mostly for the glory of correctly predicting the next iteration of D&D, so the only prize is a bit of notoriety and bragging rights.
Update: Changed my mind, I am going to throw in a gift certificate of some kind using my vast profits from this blog. Probably to a PDF vendor or online game store, amount to be determined.
It may take a LONG time to determine a winner, so be patient. It could be next year or three years from now. Also, the winner is the person closest to the actual date, even if you are past the date. This is not the “Price is Right.” Going over will not hurt you. Ties will be determined using some random method at my sole discretion.
So read the entrails, stars, cards or whatever method you choose for a vision of the future, post your best guess and check back to see who predicted the next version of “Dungeons and Dragons’” arrival!
Trask, The Last Tyromancer